Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.449793 0.519953 0.596613 0.686480 0.788828 0.901640 1.035292
2025-07-20 0.348188 0.447787 0.567553 0.721614 0.913927 1.145416 1.444480
2025-07-27 0.287211 0.399552 0.544441 0.743766 1.009438 1.349752 1.816858
2025-08-03 0.241265 0.358332 0.518333 0.750926 1.077928 1.518350 2.152893
2025-08-10 0.204469 0.321772 0.490488 0.747852 1.126798 1.659694 2.459967
2025-08-17 0.174284 0.289180 0.462293 0.738130 1.161506 1.780278 2.744366
2025-08-24 0.150561 0.262387 0.438262 0.729937 1.194919 1.898676 3.032232
2025-08-31 0.127976 0.233807 0.407234 0.706017 1.199734 1.971995 3.255260
2025-09-07 0.120633 0.229583 0.414557 0.743822 1.304832 2.207241 3.746828
2025-09-14 0.104543 0.207642 0.389260 0.723691 1.311796 2.285353 3.991736
2025-09-21 0.090916 0.188190 0.365744 0.703489 1.315602 2.356933 4.229302
2025-09-28 0.079723 0.171728 0.345503 0.686496 1.322506 2.432865 4.478121
2025-10-05 0.073628 0.164705 0.342368 0.701340 1.389141 2.619269 4.936568
2025-10-12 0.070442 0.163241 0.349789 0.737081 1.497820 2.888989 5.564200
2025-10-19 0.066115 0.158721 0.350544 0.759666 1.583294 3.122844 6.143954
2025-10-26 0.060759 0.151154 0.344128 0.766968 1.639367 3.306021 6.642902
2025-11-02 0.055097 0.142042 0.333318 0.763833 1.673909 3.450335 7.077958
2025-11-09 0.049537 0.132343 0.320046 0.753917 1.693379 3.566421 7.466295
2025-11-16 0.044729 0.123738 0.308144 0.745562 1.714979 3.687657 7.872413
2025-11-23 0.039382 0.112962 0.289963 0.721164 1.699892 3.733623 8.130941
2025-11-30 0.038555 0.113767 0.299006 0.759723 1.824960 4.074505 9.010423
2025-12-07 0.034300 0.104784 0.283454 0.739191 1.816841 4.137562 9.320821
2025-12-14 0.030515 0.096494 0.268578 0.718586 1.806442 4.194496 9.621488